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Presidential Election

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Election 2020: what a Biden victory could mean for America - The Economist

Trump and disparaged presidential candidate Hillary Clinton". The second method of Russian interference saw the Russian intelligence service, the GRU , hacking into email accounts owned by volunteers and employees of the Clinton presidential campaign, including that of campaign chairman John Podesta, and also hacking into "the computer networks of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee DCCC and the Democratic National Committee DNC ".

To establish whether a crime was committed by members of the Trump campaign with regard to Russian interference, the special counsel's investigators "applied the framework of conspiracy law ", and not the concept of "collusion", because collusion "is not a specific offense or theory of liability found in the United States Code, nor is it a term of art in federal criminal law.

Investigators further elaborated that merely having "two parties taking actions that were informed by or responsive to the other's actions or interests" was not enough to establish coordination.

The Mueller Report writes that the investigation "identified numerous links between the Russian government and the Trump campaign", found that Russia "perceived it would benefit from a Trump presidency" and that the Trump presidential campaign "expected it would benefit electorally" from Russian hacking efforts.

Ultimately, "the investigation did not establish that members of the Trump campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities".

However, investigators had an incomplete picture of what had really occurred during the campaign, due to some associates of Trump campaign providing either false, incomplete or declined testimony, as well as having deleted, unsaved or encrypted communications.

As such, the Mueller Report "cannot rule out the possibility" that information then unavailable to investigators would have presented different findings.

In December , a Ukrainian court ruled that prosecutors in Ukraine had meddled in the election by releasing damaging information on Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort.

Voice of America reported in April that "U. The Commission on Presidential Debates CPD , a non-profit organization, hosted debates between qualifying presidential and vice-presidential candidates.

According to the commission's website, to be eligible to opt to participate in the anticipated debates, "in addition to being Constitutionally eligible, candidates must appear on a sufficient number of state ballots to have a mathematical chance of winning a majority vote in the Electoral College, and have a level of support of at least 15 percent of the national electorate as determined by five selected national public opinion polling organizations, using the average of those organizations' most recently publicly-reported results at the time of the determination.

Louis , University of Nevada, Las Vegas chosen to host the presidential debates, and the one location Longwood University selected to host the vice presidential debate, were announced on September 23, The site of the first debate was originally designated as Wright State University in Dayton, Ohio ; however, due to rising costs and security concerns, the debate was moved to Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York.

On August 19, Kellyanne Conway , Trump's campaign manager confirmed that Trump would participate in a series of three debates. The news media and election experts were surprised at Trump's winning the electoral college.

For example, on the eve of the vote, spread betting firm Spreadex had Clinton at an electoral college spread of against Trump's Even Wisconsin , Pennsylvania , and Michigan , states that had been predicted to vote Democratic, were won by Trump.

Math, calculations, candidate dislike causing voter abstention begat the numbers. I don't believe them anymore. Obama's political director David Simas called Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook to persuade Clinton to concede the election, with no success.

Obama then called Clinton directly, citing the importance of continuity of government, to ask her to publicly acknowledge that Trump had won.

After networks called Pennsylvania for Donald Trump, putting him with electoral votes while he had a five-point lead in Arizona, which gives eleven electoral votes that would put Trump above the majority of , Clinton realized she had no chance to win the election and called Trump early that morning to concede defeat.

Trump gave his victory speech. Later that day, Clinton asked her supporters to accept the result and hoped that Trump would be "a successful president for all Americans".

Six states plus a portion of Maine that Obama won in switched to Trump Electoral College votes in parentheses : Florida 29 , Pennsylvania 20 , Ohio 18 , Michigan 16 , Wisconsin 10 , Iowa 6 , and Maine's second congressional district 1.

Initially, Trump won exactly more Electoral College votes than Mitt Romney had in , with two lost to faithless electors in the final tally.

Thirty-nine states swung more Republican compared to the previous presidential election, while eleven states and the District of Columbia swung more Democratic.

Examining overall turnout in the election , University of Florida Prof. Michael McDonald estimated that Considering a VAP of A FEC report of the election recorded an official total of Data scientist Hamdan Azhar noted the paradoxes of the outcome, saying that "chief among them [was] the discrepancy between the popular vote, which Hillary Clinton won by 2.

Hamdan also said Trump was "the highest vote earner of any Republican candidate ever," exceeding George W.

Bush 's He concluded, with help from The Cook Political Report , that the election hinged not on Clinton's large 2. The table below displays the official vote tallies by each state's Electoral College voting method.

The source for the results of all states is the official Federal Election Commission report. A total of 29 third party and independent presidential candidates appeared on the ballot in at least one state.

Independent candidate Evan McMullin , who appeared on the ballot in 11 states, received over , votes 0. He won Wisconsin went Republican for the first time since , while Pennsylvania and Michigan went Republican for the first time since Stein petitioned for a recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

The Clinton campaign pledged to participate in the Green Party recount efforts, while Trump backers challenged them in court.

This was the first election in which the winning candidate lost their home state since Woodrow Wilson lost New Jersey in Note: Two states Maine [a] and Nebraska allow for their electoral votes to be split between candidates by congressional districts.

The winner within each congressional district gets one electoral vote for the district. The winner of the statewide vote gets two additional electoral votes.

Results are from The New York Times. Most media outlets announced the beginning of the presidential race about twenty months prior to Election Day.

Soon after the first contestants declared their candidacy, Larry Sabato listed Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Florida, Nevada, and Ohio as the seven states most likely to be contested in the general election.

After Donald Trump clinched the Republican presidential nomination, many pundits felt that the major campaign locations might be different from what had originally been expected.

Rust Belt states such as Pennsylvania , Wisconsin , and even Michigan were thought to be in play with Trump as the nominee, while states with large minority populations, such as Colorado and Virginia , were expected to shift towards Clinton.

Trump's courting of the Polish-American vote , a sizable number of whom were Reagan Democrats , has been cited as the cause for the loss of the Rust Belt by the Democratic nominee.

Early polling indicated a closer-than-usual race in former Democratic strongholds such as Washington , Delaware , New Jersey , Connecticut , Maine for the two statewide electoral votes , and New Mexico.

Some reviews took this information as evidence of an expanded 'swing-state map'. A consensus among political pundits developed throughout the primary election season regarding swing states.

Trump's primary campaign was propelled by victories in Democratic states, and his supporters often did not identify as Republican.

For example, Utah was the reddest state in , although the Republican share was boosted significantly by the candidacy of Mormon candidate Mitt Romney.

Media reports indicated that both candidates planned to concentrate on Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio and North Carolina. These generally rate the race by the likelihood for each party to win a state.

As the parameters of the race established themselves, analysts converged on a narrower list of contested states, which were relatively similar to those of recent elections.

Additionally, a district from each of Maine and Nebraska were considered to be coin flips. Hillary Clinton won states like New Mexico by less than 10 percentage points.

States won by Obama in the , such as Ohio 18 , Iowa 6 , and Maine's second district 1 , were also won by Trump. The close result in Maine was not expected by most commentators, nor were Trump's victory of over 10 points in the second district and their disparities.

Red denotes states or congressional districts won by Republican Donald Trump; blue denotes those won by Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Results by vote distribution among states. The size of each state's pie chart is proportional to its number of electoral votes. Results by county.

Red denotes counties that went to Trump; blue denotes counties that went to Clinton. Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote Red-Purple-Blue view.

A discontinuous cartogram of the United States presidential election. A continuous cartogram of the United States presidential election.

A discretized cartogram of the United States presidential election. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 24, voters leaving voting places throughout the United States on Election Day , in addition to 4, telephone interviews with early and absentee voters.

The election also represented the first time that Republicans performed better among lower-income whites than among affluent white voters.

Trump narrowed Clinton's margin compared to Obama by seven points among blacks and African-Americans , eight points among Latinos , and 11 points among Asian-Americans.

Legend []. Various methods were used to forecast the outcome of the election. These models mostly showed a Democratic advantage since the nominees were confirmed, and were supported by pundits and statisticians, including Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Cohn at The New York Times , and Larry Sabato from the Crystal Ball newsletter, who predicted a Democratic victory in competitive presidential races and projected consistent leads in several battleground states around the country.

However, FiveThirtyEight's model pointed to the possibility of an Electoral College-popular vote split widening in the final weeks based on Trump's improvement in swing states like Florida or Pennsylvania.

This was due to the demographics targeted by Trump's campaign which lived in big numbers there, in addition to Clinton's poor performance in several of those swing states in comparison with Obama's performance in , as well as having a big number of her potential voters in very populated traditionally 'blue' states, but also in some very populated states traditionally 'red', like Texas, which were projected safe for Trump.

Early exit polls generally favored Clinton. Three states Pennsylvania , Wisconsin and Michigan which were considered to be part of Clinton's firewall , were won by Trump.

This result stands in contrast to that of , when President Barack Obama won all but Indiana , which he carried in This table displays the final polling average published by Real Clear Politics on November 7, the actual electoral margin, and the over-performance by either candidate relative to the polls.

Many pollsters were puzzled by the failure of mainstream forecasting models to predict the outcome of the election. The lone exception was Maine's 2nd congressional district.

Trump's victory, considered unlikely by most forecasts, [] [] [] [] [] was characterized as an "upset" and as "shocking" by the media. Following the announcement of Trump's election, large protests broke out across the United States with some continuing for several days.

Protesters have held up a number of different signs and chanted various shouts including "Not my president" and "We don't accept the president-elect".

High school and college students walked out of classes to protest. Rioters also broke glass at certain locations. After the election, computer scientists, including J.

Alex Halderman , the director of the University of Michigan Center for Computer Security and Society, urged the Clinton campaign to request an election recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania three swing states where Trump had won narrowly for the purpose of excluding the possibility that the hacking of electronic voting machines had influenced the recorded outcome.

Donald Trump and New Hampshire governor Chris Sununu both complained that liberal voters from Massachusetts were illegally bused into New Hampshire for the election, and Scott Brown blamed the same phenomenon for losing his senate race in They found that in every case, field inspectors were able to determine that the voters were from New Hampshire, though they were riding a bus operated by an out-of-state company which has its name and address written on the outside of the bus, presumably the source of the confusion.

On November 23, Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein launched a public fundraiser to pay for recounts in Wisconsin , Michigan , and Pennsylvania , asserting that the election's outcome had been affected by hacking in those states; Stein did not provide evidence for her claims.

Stein filed for a recount in Wisconsin on November 25, [] after which Clinton campaign general counsel Marc Elias said their campaign would join Stein's recount efforts in that state and possibly others "in order to ensure the process proceeds in a manner that is fair to all sides".

President-elect Donald Trump issued a statement denouncing Stein's Wisconsin recount request saying, "The people have spoken and the election is over.

District Judge Mark Goldsmith ordered a halt to the recount in Michigan on December 7, dissolving a previous temporary restraining order against the Michigan Board of Elections that allowed the recount to continue, stating in his order: "Plaintiffs have not presented evidence of tampering or mistake.

Instead, they present speculative claims going to the vulnerability of the voting machinery—but not actual injury.

District Judge Paul Diamond rejected an appeal by the Green Party and Jill Stein to force a recount in Pennsylvania, stating that suspicion of a hacked Pennsylvania election "borders on the irrational" and that granting the Green Party's recount bid could "ensure that no Pennsylvania vote counts" given the December 13, , federal deadline to certify the vote for the Electoral College.

The recounts in Wisconsin and Nevada were completed on schedule, resulting in only minor changes to vote tallies.

A subsequent state audit found no evidence of voter fraud and concluded that the mistakes, which were "almost entirely" caused by poll-worker mistakes attributed to poor training, did not impair "the ability of Detroit residents to cast a ballot and have their vote counted".

Intense lobbying in one case involving claims of harassment and death threats [] and grass-roots campaigns were directed at various GOP electors of the United States Electoral College [] to convince a sufficient number of them 37 to not vote for Trump, thus precluding a Trump presidency.

Williams castigated Democratic electors who had filed a lawsuit in Federal court to have the state law binding them to the popular vote in their case for Hillary Clinton overturned.

On December 10, ten electors, in an open letter headed by Christine Pelosi to the Director of National Intelligence James Clapper , demanded an intelligence briefing [] [] in light of Russian interference in the election to help Trump win the presidency.

On December 19, several electors voted against their pledged candidates : two against Trump and five against Clinton. A further three electors attempted to vote against Clinton but were replaced or forced to vote again.

The th United States Congress officially certified the results on January 6, In the Electoral College vote on December 19, for the first time since , multiple faithless electors voted against their pledged qualified presidential candidate.

Likewise, for the first time since , [c] multiple faithless electors voted against the pledged qualified vice presidential candidate.

Of the faithless votes, Colin Powell and Elizabeth Warren were the only two to receive more than one; Powell received three electoral votes for president and Warren received two for vice president.

Sanders is the first Jewish American to receive an electoral vote for president. LaDuke is the first Green Party member to receive an electoral vote, and Paul is the third member of the Libertarian Party to do so, following the party's presidential and vice-presidential nominees each getting one vote in It is the first election with faithless electors from more than one political party.

The seven people to receive electoral votes for president were the most in a single election since From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

Redirected from United States presidential election, For related races, see United States elections. Presidential election results map.

Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia. Trump received and Clinton , as 7 faithless electors , 2 pledged to Trump and 5 to Clinton, voted for other candidates.

Further information: United States presidential election. The latest news, analyses and polls on the United States presidential election.

Follow NBC News. Trump went to Kenosha but didn't listen to it, Black leaders say In Kenosha, Trump blames 'political violence' on 'radical ideology' Armed militias don't have legal authority, but today there is little standing in their way.

Markey fends off Kennedy in divisive Massachusetts Senate race Kennedy concedes Senate race to Markey Markey thanks supporters after defeating Kennedy.

Trump is trying to grab some of Biden's most valuable supporters. Here's why. All of those states went to Trump in , but there are some indications from early polling that at least some might be among the battleground states in play in In recent modern elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to electoral votes.

For instance, despite the narrow popular vote margin in , more than two dozen states were decided by margins of 15 percentage points or more. In , when the popular vote margin was seven percentage points, there were just 17 states which were won by such big margins.

One way of looking at how the electoral map has changed in recent years is to evaluate which states are most likely to provide the electoral votes needed to secure During the and elections won by Barack Obama, Virginia and Colorado were the tipping point states.

But because of Democratic gains among college-educated voters in these states, both have moved sharply toward the Democrats in recent years.

In contrast, even though Ohio was the most important battleground in the election , underlying trends have moved it towards the Republicans in recent elections.

In , many political analysts think that Wisconsin, where Democrats will hold their national convention in , could prove to be the tipping point state in a close election.

For President Trump, the best path for re-election is the exact same one that handed him the presidency in But Trump got a major warning sign during the midterm elections when the three all-important Rust Belt states delivered big victories to Democrats.

Presidential Election Chapter One GENERAL PROVISIONS. Presidential Election. Article Ⅰ. The president of the Party shall be elected by vote, in accordance with the Rules for. Article I. In addition to the Rules for the Election of President (hereafter called "​Rules"), the presidential election shall be conducted in accordance with the. Understanding the Fundamentals of the U.S. Presidential Election System | Belenky, Alexander S. S. | ISBN: | Kostenloser Versand für alle. Übersetzung im Kontext von „presidential election“ in Englisch-Deutsch von Reverso Context: presidential election campaign. The Official Report of the First General Elections (New Delhi, 2), Vol. 1, Page 2. THE INDIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ()

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He Predicted a Trump Win in 2016. What's His Forecast For 2020? - NYT Opinion

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